Looking at the history of the stock it trades with in a range and it looks like it's a good candidate for day trading. Unfortunately (or fortunately) I have a job so this is not an option for me, but I still want to take advantage of this pattern.
So what I will do is buy an Iron Condor options spread which will get me a nice profit with not so much risk. This is a combination of a bull call credit and a bull put credit spread so the commissions will be a bit high, but it's good to control the risk in case the stock goes against me in either direction. I will not get into the description of the spread since I'm sure everyone has the books but here is exactly what I'm set to do:
Buy put SGRPJ@1.30 50.0 strike
Sell put SGRPK@2.25 55.0 strike
Sell call SGRDM@2.00 65.0 strike
Buy call SGRDN@1.10 70.0 strike
Some calculations:
bull call credit=2.25-1.30=0.95
bull put credit=2.00-1.10=0.90
total credit=1.85(max i can make per spread)
I will make money if the stock stays between 53.15 and 66.85. To calculate this I use the formula:
Lower Break Even= | Sold Put Strike - Total Net Credit = 55.0-1.85 |
Upper Break Even= | Sold Call Strike + Total Net Credit =65+1.85 |
If the short option is near the money I will close the short position and hold on to the long since the stock has a slight uptrend lately. There is more stuff to calculate here, but I'll end with this cause I'm getting carpal tunnel.
Alex
3 comments:
Nice post Alex, what settings are you using on the MACD?
Slow 26
Fast 12
Signal 9
By the way the commission on the four legs of this combo was only $5.60. I love interactive brokers. If anyone wants to know how to easily create these combos through the software I can help.
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